Here are the totals for Week 8 divisional games: Overall through seven weeks, unders are 25-10 in divisional games this season. The other profitable under to bet has been divisional game unders. Thursday night unders have hit in five of seven games this season and 16 of the last 21 games. Overall, since 2019, prime-time unders are hitting at a 58.4% rate. Games played at night (Thursday, Sunday night and Monday) this season are 14-8 to the under. The most obvious has been prime-time unders. There are two types of unders in particular that are cashing at a high rate. Quite simply, there are fewer touchdowns being scored, so what was already a market with huge variance has become even harder to beat due to lower amounts of opportunity. Not only is the lack of scoring impacting totals, but it's also impacting prop markets, especially anytime touchdown scoring bets. 500 or better in every week of this season: Hopefully we see an uptick in Week 8.Īs a result, unders are 64-44 (59.3%) to begin the season. Really gotta pick your spots now for TD betting. If you've bet $100 on every underdog on the moneyline this season, you would currently be up $1,465 dollars in profit. While a 39.8% winning percentage might not look great, it's more than enough. So far through seven weeks of the NFL season, underdogs are 43-64-1 straight up. Let's take a look at the data so far this season and what it means moving forward. As games get more important, margin might be even harder to get in victories. As the weather gets colder, scoring doesn't usually pick up. Therefore, bettors tend to prefer to bet on games to go over the total.Īll of this has led to a slow start to the season for the betting public. Bettors also like rooting for excitement and action, which correlates to points. Those good teams are usually favored in games. However, people like betting on presumed good teams. Underdogs on the moneyline, underdogs against the spread and games to go under the total have all cashed for bettors at extremely profitable rates to open the season. If you look at the data, betting the NFL has been pretty simple this season.
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